Shipping Market Overview – July 2026 (Rate Increases & Tight Space ex China)
As we move into July 2026, we near the typical peak season cycle where we see rates begin to climb as shipping lines implement Peak Season Surcharges (PSS) to their ocean freight rates. This year those usual Peak Season Surcharges are being implemented earlier than usual by the shipping lines, so we are already noting rate hikes ex various global trade lanes including China as well as tightening space.
Please see below for a market overview summary:
Market Overview
- Peak season has started earlier than usual, with strong demand pushing rates up across major global trades.
- Carriers are successfully implementing rate increases (RR) and surcharges (PSS), indicating a firm market.
- Market conditions are expected to strengthen further in the coming weeks, particularly due to limited capacity.
Rates & Space
- Freight rates: Rates are quite volatile & are rising weekly and are likely to keep increasing in the short term. On average, we’re seeing Peak Season Surcharges of around USD 200-500/TEU being added to current freight rates.
- Space availability: Very tight across key routes, especially into Australia and Europe. Ships are filling up quickly, and early booking is essential.
What’s Driving This
- Fuel pressure: Marine fuel supply is tightening, which is pushing up operating costs and contributing to higher freight rates.
- Strong demand: High shipping volumes (e.g. retail, e-commerce, energy equipment) are keeping pressure on capacity.
- Disruptions: Ongoing rerouting (e.g. around the Red Sea) is making voyages longer, reducing available space globally.
Australia
- Even with new services launching (Maersk “QILIN” and COSCO “A3X”), space is still extremely tight.
- These services may help eventually, but right now they haven’t reduced rates or eased congestion, in fact we are also seeing some blank sailings from lines which are adding further the space pressures
Europe & US
- Europe: Space is very tight, with many sailings full and delays reducing capacity.
- US: Demand is strong, driving rate increases, but space pressure is less severe than Europe.
Practical Implication
- Book at least 2-3 weeks in advance to secure space.
- Expect limited availability and rising costs, especially into East Australia.
- Budget for extra charges (e.g. container handling restrictions in China, port charges, infrastructure etc).
